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Market Statistics for South Beach Condos-33139

Oct 3rd 2007
hi

 

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With the real estate market in a state of flux, absorption rates are increasingly used as an indicator to assess how long it would take to sell ALL the existing condos in each condominium, assuming the rate of sales stays constant and no new listings are added to the inventory. Additionally, absorption rates are the best way of tracking market performance. They are usually used to indicate “overall real estate market performance,” or how an entire market is doing.

To calculate monthly absorption rate, I have taken all the condos that are currently on the market in each building in the South of Fifth Street (SoFi) neighborhood of South Beach, and divided them by the number of listings that have sold in their respective condo in the past six months and divided that number by six. Many people compute absorption rates by using the number of sales in a one month period, but I use a six month sales average so it “smoothes” the seasonal “peaks and valleys” to gauge the true overall activity.

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Learn more about South Beach luxury condo absorption rates at The South Beach Real Estate Blog

Continue searching for Miami Beach condos here

This article was written by:

Kevin Tomlinson
kevin@kevintomlinson.com

Miami Beach

You can also contact Kevin by leaving a comment below.



  1. Jonathan Washburn

    Very good info.
    How is this trending over the last year or two? Do you think the absorption rates are going to increase or are we at our peak?

  2. Monica Harvey

    Great and very useful information to share with my clients, thank you!

  3. Kevin Tomlinson

    Jon
    Inventory will probably climb into 2008. But that is sort of a crystal ball question. It’s not gonna be pretty for a while.

  4. Clearwater Beach Real Estate

    Kevin – thanks for a real insight into the South Beach Condo Market right now. We’re seeing the same thing on Clearwater Beach too. – Cyndee Haydon

  5. Kevin Tomlinson

    It’s like that across the country. No different anywhere else.

  6. Norbert Machado

    Hi Kevin, indeed, using a 6 month average is more indicative of the trend. Good job.

  7. Kevin Tomlinson

    Someone left a comment on South Beach Real Estate Blog saying that a 2 month “moving average” would be more accurate. I disagreed by saying with that logic, Jan & Feb activity would give the market a “false high.”

    Pick your poison.

  8. Monica

    Kevin – I am surprised to see Icon up there along with Portofino and Yacht Club. Good info.

  9. Kevin Tomlinson

    I was too. ICON owners need to adjust their prices. On average their list prices are about $60 psf higher than Murano Grande’s.

  10. crATE

    i DON;T BELIEVE WARLOCKS ARE STILL BUYING AT THESE PRICES

  11. Kevin Tomlinson

    crATE,

    Warlocks?

  12. Greg Horton

    Kevin,

    Nice graph. Where did you get it?

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